Os Belenenses vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
ATL
1 - 1
BEL
22%
24%
54%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
BEL
1 - 0
SPC
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1960 |
BEL
0 - 0
SLB
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
BOA
0 - 1
BEL
21%
23%
56%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
BEL
4 - 0
LGC
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
FAB
1 - 3
LEX
66%
18%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
SCP
2 - 0
FAB
85%
10%
5%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1960 |
FCP
5 - 0
FAB
85%
9%
5%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
FAB
1 - 1
ACA
50%
23%
27%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
VIT
3 - 1
FAB
76%
14%
10%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |