Os Belenenses vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
7.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
SPC
2 - 0
BEL
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
FCP
1 - 1
BEL
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
BEL
3 - 1
ACA
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1955 |
ACM
3 - 1
BEL
84%
10%
6%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1955 |
RMA
2 - 0
BEL
85%
9%
5%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
FAB
0 - 4
FCP
31%
22%
48%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
ACA
3 - 4
FAB
67%
16%
17%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
FAB
0 - 0
SCP
23%
20%
57%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
FAB
2 - 0
FCB
57%
20%
24%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 1955 |
FCP
3 - 2
FAB
86%
8%
5%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |