Os Belenenses vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
BOA
1 - 1
BEL
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
36%
22%
42%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
VIT
1 - 3
BEL
39%
24%
37%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
BEL
1 - 2
VST
69%
17%
15%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
ATL
2 - 2
BEL
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
FAB
3 - 0
SPC
58%
20%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
LGC
0 - 3
FAB
66%
19%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
BOA
2 - 2
FAB
66%
18%
16%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
FAB
0 - 1
SLB
12%
16%
72%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
VIT
1 - 2
FAB
64%
19%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |