Os Belenenses vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.5%
Win probability
4.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.1%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.5%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
4%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.1%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.6%
3.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1943 |
SCP
2 - 1
BEL
76%
13%
11%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
BEL
5 - 2
SLB
56%
20%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1943 |
BEL
8 - 0
OLH
88%
8%
4%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
UNI
0 - 5
BEL
22%
19%
59%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACA
80%
12%
9%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1943 |
FAB
1 - 1
FCP
25%
20%
56%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
LEX
1 - 6
FAB
41%
23%
37%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1943 |
VIT
2 - 3
FAB
76%
13%
11%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
SLB
7 - 1
FAB
92%
5%
3%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
FAB
4 - 5
OLH
64%
18%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |