Os Belenenses vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
SPB
1 - 1
BEL
33%
30%
37%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
EST
1 - 1
BEL
33%
29%
38%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
BEL
1 - 0
ATL
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
BMA
0 - 2
BEL
36%
29%
36%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
VIT
3 - 1
BEL
53%
22%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
EST
3 - 1
BOA
31%
29%
40%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
EST
1 - 1
BEL
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
ACA
1 - 0
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1976 |
EST
1 - 2
BOA
28%
22%
50%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
BOA
2 - 2
EST
78%
13%
9%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |