Os Belenenses vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1975 |
ATL
0 - 0
BEL
36%
30%
34%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
BEL
2 - 1
BMA
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1975 |
LEX
3 - 2
BEL
32%
29%
39%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
BEL
1 - 1
BOA
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
SCP
1 - 0
BEL
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1975 |
EST
0 - 0
ACA
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
UFT
2 - 2
EST
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
EST
1 - 3
FCP
28%
27%
45%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
VST
1 - 3
EST
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
EST
2 - 1
VIT
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |