Os Belenenses vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.5%
17.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
ACA
2 - 0
BEL
33%
24%
43%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
ORI
3 - 1
BEL
14%
19%
67%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
BEL
2 - 0
VST
74%
14%
12%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
SPB
1 - 0
BEL
26%
23%
51%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
BEL
1 - 1
SPC
83%
10%
7%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
EST
3 - 1
ORI
82%
11%
7%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
VST
3 - 2
EST
41%
23%
36%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
EST
5 - 0
SPC
76%
13%
12%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
EST
10 - 0
LUS
85%
9%
6%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
VIT
3 - 1
EST
48%
21%
31%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |