Os Belenenses vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.7%
16.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
SCP
5 - 1
BEL
74%
14%
12%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
BEL
4 - 0
ATL
77%
13%
10%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
VIT
2 - 1
BEL
27%
23%
51%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
BEL
3 - 1
FCP
69%
16%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
SPC
1 - 2
BEL
10%
17%
74%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
EST
6 - 1
OLH
76%
13%
11%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
SPB
2 - 1
EST
24%
20%
56%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
EST
8 - 1
BOA
78%
12%
9%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
OEL
4 - 2
EST
25%
20%
55%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
LUS
1 - 1
EST
14%
18%
69%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |