Os Belenenses vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
3.71
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.3%
6.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
SLB
3 - 1
BEL
74%
14%
12%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1947 |
BEL
7 - 1
BOA
90%
7%
3%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1947 |
VST
2 - 1
BEL
30%
24%
46%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
BEL
2 - 1
SLE
87%
8%
5%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
ACA
2 - 0
BEL
33%
23%
44%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
EST
6 - 2
ATL
57%
19%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1947 |
FAM
2 - 6
EST
48%
21%
31%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1947 |
EST
9 - 0
SAN
82%
11%
7%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
OLH
4 - 2
EST
68%
16%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
EST
5 - 0
VIT
73%
15%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |