Os Belenenses vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCP
27%
30%
43%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1989 |
SLB
1 - 0
BEL
74%
18%
8%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1989 |
BEL
1 - 0
FCP
36%
30%
35%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1989 |
BEL
1 - 1
FAF
75%
17%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1989 |
BEL
2 - 0
FAR
71%
18%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
ESP
1 - 5
VST
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1989 |
NAC
3 - 0
ESP
66%
21%
14%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1989 |
ESP
1 - 0
EST
56%
21%
24%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1989 |
ESP
2 - 1
CHA
50%
27%
24%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1989 |
SPB
3 - 1
ESP
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |