Os Belenenses vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
BOA
2 - 1
BEL
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
BEL
1 - 2
FCP
28%
28%
44%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
BEL
5 - 1
VAR
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
SCP
2 - 0
BEL
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
BEL
1 - 0
MAR
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
ESP
2 - 1
EST
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
UDL
2 - 1
ESP
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
ESP
2 - 1
VIT
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
BMA
1 - 1
ESP
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1980 |
FCP
3 - 0
ESP
92%
6%
2%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |