Os Belenenses vs Carcavelinhos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
10.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
SCP
1 - 1
BEL
78%
12%
10%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1939 |
BEL
1 - 3
SCP
43%
21%
36%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
VIL
0 - 9
BEL
19%
20%
61%
|
78 | 24 | 54 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
BEL
3 - 3
VIL
89%
8%
4%
|
78 | 23 | 55 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
BEL
7 - 2
APO
80%
12%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
CAR
4 - 4
FCP
27%
22%
51%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1939 |
FCP
3 - 1
CAR
85%
9%
6%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
FCB
2 - 2
CAR
57%
20%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
CAR
2 - 1
FCB
53%
21%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1938 |
FCB
1 - 2
CAR
65%
18%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |