Os Belenenses vs Carcavelinhos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
6.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
ACA
2 - 3
BEL
19%
18%
62%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
BEL
5 - 0
VST
68%
16%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1937 |
BEL
1 - 0
SLB
49%
21%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
FCP
1 - 2
BEL
65%
17%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1937 |
BEL
3 - 0
CAR
82%
11%
7%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
CAR
0 - 1
FCP
22%
20%
59%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
ACA
1 - 2
CAR
62%
19%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1937 |
SCP
8 - 0
CAR
86%
9%
5%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
CAR
4 - 0
LEX
58%
21%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1937 |
BEL
3 - 0
CAR
82%
11%
7%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |