Os Belenenses vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.4%
Win probability
4.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.3%
7-0
3.2%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.7%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
2.4%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8.2%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
4%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11%
5.6%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.6%
2.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
FAB
3 - 2
BEL
16%
21%
63%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
BEL
4 - 3
FCP
52%
21%
27%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
SPC
3 - 2
BEL
32%
25%
44%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
BEL
2 - 2
SCP
46%
22%
32%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
SLB
2 - 2
BEL
73%
15%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
CAL
2 - 2
LGC
44%
23%
33%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
CAL
2 - 1
FAB
53%
21%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
FCP
4 - 0
CAL
93%
5%
2%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
CAL
3 - 2
SPC
47%
23%
30%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
SCP
6 - 0
CAL
94%
5%
2%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | -1 |