Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 15-1
Os Belenenses vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
3.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
10%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
6.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
BOA
2 - 3
BEL
24%
21%
56%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1941 |
BEL
5 - 1
SCP
44%
21%
36%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACA
78%
12%
10%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
UNI
2 - 3
BEL
34%
22%
44%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
BEL
2 - 3
FCP
50%
20%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
BOA
2 - 3
BEL
24%
21%
56%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1941 |
FCP
7 - 1
BOA
93%
5%
2%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
SCP
9 - 0
BOA
94%
4%
2%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
ACA
6 - 0
BOA
72%
15%
13%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
BOA
1 - 0
UNI
58%
20%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |