Os Belenenses vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
47.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
BEL
0 - 0
VAR
69%
19%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
BOA
0 - 1
BEL
67%
19%
15%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
FCB
3 - 2
BEL
78%
14%
8%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
BEL
0 - 1
VST
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
ACA
3 - 1
BEL
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
SLB
2 - 1
BOA
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
VST
2 - 1
SLB
32%
25%
42%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
SLB
0 - 0
SGD
56%
21%
23%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
SLB
1 - 0
ACA
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
EST
1 - 1
SLB
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |