Os Belenenses vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
42.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1962 |
FCB
1 - 1
BEL
93%
5%
2%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1962 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCB
27%
22%
51%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1962 |
BEL
0 - 1
VST
76%
14%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1962 |
VST
0 - 0
BEL
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1962 |
BEL
2 - 1
SCP
36%
23%
42%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1962 |
SLB
2 - 5
SAN
85%
9%
6%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
SAN
3 - 2
SLB
53%
20%
27%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1962 |
SLB
3 - 0
VST
90%
7%
3%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1962 |
SLB
6 - 0
VIT
90%
7%
3%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1962 |
VIT
2 - 2
SLB
25%
21%
54%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |