Os Belenenses vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
41.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1961 |
FCB
3 - 4
BEL
32%
24%
44%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
BEL
2 - 2
ACA
74%
16%
11%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
BEL
0 - 1
SPC
82%
11%
6%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
FCP
1 - 0
BEL
75%
15%
11%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
BEL
2 - 1
SPB
82%
11%
6%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1961 |
SLB
8 - 0
SPC
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
SLB
3 - 1
VST
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1961 |
RAP
1 - 1
SLB
43%
21%
36%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
FCP
3 - 2
SLB
56%
20%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1961 |
SLB
3 - 0
RAP
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |