Os Belenenses vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
38%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
SPC
2 - 1
BEL
32%
24%
44%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
BEL
3 - 1
ACA
81%
12%
7%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
CAL
1 - 6
BEL
20%
22%
59%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
BEL
2 - 0
VIT
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
FAB
2 - 4
BEL
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
SLB
2 - 0
TOR
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
SLB
2 - 1
SPC
82%
12%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
ACA
0 - 3
SLB
22%
22%
56%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
SLB
3 - 0
CAL
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
VIT
2 - 1
SLB
24%
22%
54%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |