Os Belenenses vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
38.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
VST
1 - 1
BEL
33%
24%
43%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
BEL
6 - 2
SAL
88%
8%
4%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
TOR
2 - 1
BEL
21%
22%
57%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
BEL
4 - 0
FAB
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
SCP
3 - 2
BEL
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
SLB
1 - 0
LGC
82%
12%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
ACA
0 - 1
SLB
23%
22%
56%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
SLB
2 - 3
FCP
60%
20%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
CAL
3 - 2
SLB
9%
16%
75%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
SLB
3 - 0
FCB
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |