Os Belenenses vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
37.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
ACA
1 - 1
BEL
40%
24%
35%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
BEL
6 - 2
TOR
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
FCB
2 - 1
BEL
34%
26%
41%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
BEL
5 - 1
VST
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
ORI
1 - 1
BEL
20%
23%
58%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
SLB
1 - 0
CAL
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
FAB
2 - 3
SLB
11%
16%
74%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
SLB
3 - 2
FCP
69%
17%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
SPC
1 - 3
SLB
20%
20%
60%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
SLB
1 - 1
SCP
57%
20%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |