Os Belenenses vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
35.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
VIT
0 - 1
BEL
29%
23%
48%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1947 |
FAM
1 - 5
BEL
19%
20%
61%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
BEL
7 - 0
SAN
94%
4%
2%
|
86 | 48 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1947 |
OLH
3 - 0
BEL
40%
23%
37%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1947 |
BEL
1 - 1
VIT
82%
10%
7%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
SLB
6 - 1
SPB
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1947 |
SLB
6 - 2
BOA
94%
4%
2%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
VST
0 - 1
SLB
20%
19%
61%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1947 |
SLB
3 - 2
SLE
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1947 |
ACA
3 - 3
SLB
20%
18%
62%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |