Os Belenenses vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20%
34%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1947 |
BOA
1 - 1
BEL
10%
16%
74%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1947 |
BEL
3 - 2
VST
80%
12%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
SLE
1 - 0
BEL
22%
21%
57%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
BEL
5 - 1
ACA
81%
11%
9%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
SCP
3 - 0
BEL
71%
15%
14%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1947 |
SLB
3 - 0
ATL
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1947 |
FAM
1 - 5
SLB
17%
17%
67%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
SLB
13 - 1
SAN
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
OLH
1 - 6
SLB
27%
20%
53%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
SLB
4 - 1
VIT
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |