Os Belenenses vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
31.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1944 |
OLH
4 - 3
BEL
32%
21%
47%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1944 |
BEL
3 - 1
VST
81%
11%
8%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
BEL
3 - 2
FCP
62%
18%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
SLB
8 - 2
BEL
73%
14%
13%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
52%
20%
28%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1944 |
SCP
0 - 2
SLB
70%
15%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1944 |
SLB
6 - 1
ACA
86%
9%
6%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
SLB
2 - 0
EST
91%
6%
3%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1944 |
SCP
3 - 2
SLB
68%
16%
17%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1944 |
SLB
8 - 0
EST
85%
9%
6%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |