Os Belenenses vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.4%
26.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
OLH
5 - 0
BEL
21%
19%
60%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
SCP
6 - 1
BEL
77%
13%
11%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
ACA
1 - 3
BEL
26%
20%
55%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
BEL
4 - 0
FCP
69%
16%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
VST
1 - 3
BEL
13%
17%
71%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
SLB
6 - 1
SAL
92%
6%
3%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
SLB
5 - 3
VST
91%
6%
3%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
SLB
5 - 4
OLH
90%
7%
4%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
SLB
5 - 4
SCP
48%
20%
32%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
ATL
3 - 1
SLB
17%
18%
65%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |