Taça de Portugal Semi-finals
Global 5-4
Os Belenenses vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1941 |
SLB
1 - 2
BEL
68%
16%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1941 |
BEL
0 - 1
SLB
57%
19%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1941 |
ACA
0 - 2
BEL
41%
21%
38%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
BEL
5 - 1
ACA
79%
12%
9%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
BOA
0 - 8
BEL
31%
22%
47%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1941 |
SLB
1 - 2
BEL
68%
16%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1941 |
BEL
0 - 1
SLB
57%
19%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1941 |
SLB
2 - 0
FCP
56%
19%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
FCP
4 - 3
SLB
69%
15%
16%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
SLB
8 - 0
SPC
85%
9%
6%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | +1 |