Os Belenenses vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.2%
41.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
BEL
0 - 0
SCP
36%
21%
43%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
FCB
2 - 2
BEL
29%
21%
50%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
CAR
1 - 5
BEL
33%
22%
45%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1940 |
SCP
4 - 1
BEL
84%
10%
7%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
VST
0 - 1
BEL
34%
22%
44%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
SLB
7 - 2
LEX
91%
6%
3%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
ACA
5 - 4
SLB
16%
18%
66%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
APO
1 - 5
SLB
8%
14%
78%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
FCP
4 - 2
SLB
66%
16%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
FCB
0 - 1
SLB
12%
17%
72%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |