Os Belenenses vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
35.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
FCP
5 - 2
BEL
75%
14%
12%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
CAS
2 - 3
BEL
15%
19%
66%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
BEL
1 - 2
FCB
79%
12%
9%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
APO
3 - 1
BEL
29%
22%
49%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1939 |
BEL
0 - 2
SCP
49%
20%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
SLB
5 - 2
APO
90%
7%
3%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
SLB
1 - 4
SCP
66%
17%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
ACA
3 - 3
SLB
13%
18%
70%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
SLB
4 - 1
FCP
69%
16%
15%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
CAS
0 - 1
SLB
9%
14%
78%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |