Os Belenenses vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1938 |
BEL
2 - 3
FCB
78%
12%
9%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
SCP
2 - 1
BEL
65%
17%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1938 |
BEL
1 - 0
APO
82%
11%
7%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
BEL
4 - 0
CAR
83%
10%
7%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
ACA
2 - 3
BEL
19%
18%
62%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1938 |
SLB
3 - 1
FCP
71%
15%
14%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
CAR
1 - 4
SLB
18%
19%
63%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1938 |
SLB
0 - 0
FCB
88%
8%
5%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
SLB
3 - 2
SCP
69%
16%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
APO
0 - 4
SLB
25%
20%
55%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |