Os Belenenses vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
31.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
BOA
1 - 1
BEL
50%
20%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
VST
2 - 1
BEL
49%
21%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
SLB
5 - 3
BEL
62%
18%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
BEL
7 - 0
APO
74%
14%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
ULI
2 - 6
BEL
41%
21%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1935 |
APO
1 - 4
SLB
28%
20%
52%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
SLB
5 - 3
BEL
62%
18%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
SLB
4 - 1
ACA
79%
12%
9%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
SCP
3 - 1
SLB
55%
20%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1935 |
SLB
3 - 0
FCP
55%
20%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |