Os Belenenses vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
25.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
BEL
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 0
MOR
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
NAV
0 - 1
BEL
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 2
EST
36%
29%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 1
OLI
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ARO
2 - 0
TRO
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 2
ARO
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ARO
0 - 0
UNM
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SCF
2 - 0
ARO
48%
25%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ARO
1 - 2
POR
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |