Os Belenenses vs Academico do Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.4%
5.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
LEX
1 - 3
BEL
25%
21%
54%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
BEL
2 - 0
SLB
38%
21%
41%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
BEL
0 - 0
SCP
36%
21%
43%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
FCB
2 - 2
BEL
29%
21%
50%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
CAR
1 - 5
BEL
33%
22%
45%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Academico do Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
APO
1 - 3
CAR
55%
21%
24%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
VST
2 - 0
APO
71%
16%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
APO
0 - 2
FCP
8%
13%
79%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
SCP
11 - 2
APO
95%
4%
2%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
APO
1 - 5
SLB
8%
14%
78%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | -1 |