Os Belenenses vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
4º
3º
26
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SCP
2 - 1
BEL
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
BEL
2 - 0
USA
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
OLI
2 - 2
BEL
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 2
SPC
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 1
BEL
26%
27%
47%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ACA
1 - 2
1DE
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAL
1 - 1
ACA
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ATL
1 - 1
ACA
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 0
SCP
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
USA
0 - 3
ACA
37%
26%
38%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |