Os Belenenses vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
SPB
0 - 0
BEL
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
BEL
4 - 1
CHA
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
AVE
0 - 0
BEL
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
PEN
0 - 0
BEL
43%
32%
26%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
BEL
2 - 1
SAL
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
ACA
1 - 0
POR
49%
30%
21%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
ACA
1 - 0
SPB
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
CHA
2 - 0
ACA
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
AVE
2 - 1
ACA
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
ACA
1 - 0
PEN
54%
26%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |