Os Belenenses vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
11.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
MAR
1 - 0
BEL
33%
29%
38%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1979 |
BEL
0 - 1
BOA
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
BOA
1 - 1
BEL
58%
21%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
BEL
1 - 0
VST
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
BEL
7 - 1
SPB
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
ACA
0 - 1
SPB
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
ACA
4 - 0
COV
76%
14%
10%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
SLB
6 - 1
ACA
85%
11%
4%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
ACA
0 - 3
FCP
22%
27%
52%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1979 |
VIT
3 - 0
ACA
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |