Os Belenenses vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
UFT
3 - 1
BEL
35%
30%
36%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
BEL
1 - 0
FCP
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
VST
4 - 1
BEL
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
BEL
2 - 0
VIT
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
BEL
2 - 0
EST
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
SLB
4 - 0
ACA
90%
8%
3%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
ACA
2 - 1
UFT
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
FCP
5 - 1
ACA
81%
13%
6%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
ACA
0 - 0
VST
33%
29%
37%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
ACA
1 - 2
VIT
36%
28%
37%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |