Os Belenenses vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
OLH
1 - 2
BEL
38%
30%
33%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1974 |
SCP
1 - 0
BEL
79%
14%
8%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
BEL
3 - 0
ORI
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
FAB
1 - 3
BEL
44%
28%
29%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
ACA
1 - 3
SCP
18%
26%
56%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
ORI
2 - 2
ACA
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1974 |
FAB
0 - 0
ACA
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
ACA
2 - 1
ESP
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1974 |
BOA
1 - 0
ACA
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |