Os Belenenses vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1964 |
SHE
2 - 1
BEL
41%
22%
36%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
FAB
1 - 1
BEL
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
BEL
3 - 2
LEX
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1964 |
SHE
0 - 0
BEL
40%
22%
38%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 0
BEL
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
ACA
2 - 1
SPB
64%
20%
17%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
ACA
2 - 0
TOR
68%
18%
14%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
FAB
3 - 1
ACA
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
ACA
2 - 3
LEX
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
FAB
6 - 2
ACA
65%
19%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |