Os Belenenses vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
SLB
5 - 2
BEL
82%
11%
7%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
BEL
2 - 1
OLH
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
VST
2 - 2
BEL
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
BEL
4 - 1
VAR
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
LEX
1 - 2
BEL
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
ACA
1 - 2
FCP
23%
25%
52%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
FCB
3 - 4
ACA
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
ACA
7 - 1
SEI
61%
20%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
ACA
1 - 5
SLB
16%
21%
63%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
OLH
2 - 2
ACA
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |