Os Belenenses vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
BEL
0 - 1
SPC
82%
11%
6%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
FCP
1 - 0
BEL
75%
15%
11%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
BEL
2 - 1
SPB
82%
11%
6%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
SCP
2 - 1
BEL
74%
15%
11%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
BEL
1 - 0
FAB
76%
15%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
ACA
0 - 1
ATL
66%
19%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
SPC
1 - 1
ACA
50%
24%
25%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
ACA
1 - 1
LEX
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
FCP
0 - 1
ACA
87%
9%
4%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
ACA
2 - 0
SAL
69%
17%
14%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |