Os Belenenses vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
TOR
6 - 2
BEL
19%
22%
59%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
BEL
4 - 0
FCB
81%
12%
7%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
VST
1 - 2
BEL
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
BEL
5 - 1
ORI
88%
8%
4%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
ATL
2 - 4
BEL
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
ACA
4 - 0
CAL
77%
14%
10%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
FAB
2 - 1
ACA
53%
22%
25%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
ACA
0 - 3
FCP
31%
23%
46%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
SPC
0 - 1
ACA
53%
22%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
ACA
2 - 0
SCP
23%
22%
55%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +2 |