Os Belenenses vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
8.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1955 |
SAL
0 - 2
BEL
43%
23%
35%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
BEL
2 - 2
SCP
39%
22%
39%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
SPB
2 - 3
BEL
40%
24%
36%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
BEL
2 - 0
LGC
83%
10%
7%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
BEL
4 - 0
SPC
74%
15%
11%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1955 |
ACA
3 - 1
VST
63%
17%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
BOA
3 - 1
ACA
59%
20%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
ACA
3 - 7
SLB
23%
22%
55%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
VIT
2 - 1
ACA
52%
23%
26%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
ACA
3 - 1
VST
56%
20%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |