Os Belenenses vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
SCP
1 - 1
BEL
84%
10%
6%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1952 |
BEL
1 - 2
SCP
38%
21%
41%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1952 |
SCP
3 - 1
BEL
85%
10%
6%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
BEL
5 - 1
ACA
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1952 |
ACA
2 - 2
BEL
51%
21%
28%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
ACA
3 - 2
ATL
59%
20%
21%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
BEL
5 - 1
ACA
75%
14%
11%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1952 |
ACA
2 - 2
BEL
51%
21%
28%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
ACA
2 - 1
BEL
40%
25%
36%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
SPC
0 - 0
ACA
61%
19%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |