Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 7-3
Os Belenenses vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
11%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1952 |
ACA
2 - 2
BEL
51%
21%
28%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
ACA
2 - 1
BEL
40%
25%
36%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
BEL
4 - 1
FCB
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
SAL
2 - 1
BEL
16%
21%
63%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
BEL
1 - 0
SPB
74%
15%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1952 |
ACA
2 - 2
BEL
51%
21%
28%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
ACA
2 - 1
BEL
40%
25%
36%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
SPC
0 - 0
ACA
61%
19%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
FCB
2 - 2
ACA
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
ACA
1 - 1
FCP
34%
23%
42%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |