Os Belenenses vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
3.83
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.2%
5-0
6%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.8%
4.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
SLB
2 - 0
BEL
73%
15%
13%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
BEL
3 - 0
VIT
83%
10%
7%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
SPB
2 - 3
BEL
31%
23%
46%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
BEL
4 - 0
OLH
75%
13%
11%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
BOA
2 - 3
BEL
11%
17%
72%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
ACA
4 - 3
SPB
54%
20%
26%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
OLH
5 - 2
ACA
78%
13%
9%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
BOA
6 - 2
ACA
66%
17%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
ACA
2 - 1
OEL
56%
19%
24%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
EST
7 - 0
ACA
88%
8%
5%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | -1 |