Os Belenenses vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
16.2%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
10.9%
8.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
SCP
3 - 0
BEL
71%
15%
14%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
FCP
0 - 0
BEL
51%
20%
29%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
BEL
1 - 1
ATL
85%
9%
6%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
BEL
8 - 0
FAM
90%
7%
4%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1947 |
SAN
2 - 3
BEL
6%
13%
81%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
ACA
3 - 2
ATL
51%
19%
30%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
FAM
6 - 1
ACA
63%
17%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
ACA
5 - 2
SAN
90%
6%
4%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
ACA
2 - 3
OLH
48%
20%
32%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1947 |
VIT
2 - 2
ACA
60%
19%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |