Os Belenenses vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
7.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
SCP
2 - 1
BEL
77%
13%
11%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
BEL
2 - 1
EST
79%
12%
9%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
BEL
4 - 1
VIT
87%
8%
5%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
SLB
1 - 2
BEL
76%
13%
11%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
BEL
1 - 0
OLH
78%
12%
10%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
ACA
1 - 3
FCP
39%
20%
42%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
SAL
2 - 1
ACA
42%
21%
37%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
VST
2 - 0
ACA
67%
16%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
EST
2 - 1
ACA
69%
16%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
ACA
3 - 0
VIT
78%
12%
11%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |