Os Belenenses vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
10%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
6.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
FCP
1 - 0
BEL
56%
20%
24%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
BEL
1 - 2
VST
86%
9%
6%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
BEL
5 - 1
SAL
89%
7%
4%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1944 |
VIT
1 - 2
BEL
17%
18%
66%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
BEL
1 - 3
ATL
82%
10%
7%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
ACA
3 - 9
VST
67%
16%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
VIT
1 - 5
ACA
65%
17%
18%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
ACA
1 - 4
SLB
20%
18%
62%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1944 |
ATL
8 - 0
ACA
77%
13%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
ACA
9 - 4
SAL
70%
15%
15%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |