Belén Siglo XXI vs Carmelita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belén Siglo XXI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SAP
0 - 2
BEL
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 1
PER
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
LFC
1 - 1
BEL
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
BEL
3 - 3
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
BEL
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
ADC
0 - 3
LDA
18%
24%
59%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
ADC
1 - 1
SAP
16%
22%
62%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CSC
1 - 2
ADC
76%
17%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ADC
0 - 1
PFC
27%
26%
48%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
CSH
0 - 0
ADC
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | +1 |