Ascenso Apertura Final
Global 0-1
Belén Siglo XXI vs Cartagena AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belén Siglo XXI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 0
BEL
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
TUR
0 - 2
BEL
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 1
BEL
34%
26%
39%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2010 |
BEL
4 - 1
ADD
68%
20%
13%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
BEL
2 - 0
TUR
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cartagena AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 0
BEL
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2010 |
JFC
5 - 3
CAR
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
CAR
5 - 1
DEP
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
DEP
0 - 1
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
JFC
55%
23%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |